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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-12-16T09:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-12-16T09:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9854/-1
CME Note: This entry is for two CME in close succession, starting on 2015-12-16T09:24 UT and 2015-12-16T14:24 UT in LASCO C2.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-12-19T15:27Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 6.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-12-18T21:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2015-12-16T18:54Z 
Radial velocity (km/s):800 
Longitude (deg):E005 
Latitude (deg):S07 
Half-angular width (deg):37 

Notes:Prediction assumes combination with earlier CME 
Space weather advisor:Mike Adkin

Lead Time: 56.95 hour(s)
Difference: 18.45 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2015-12-17T06:30Z

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